Six Nations Preview: Ireland and Wales

IRELAND: No Backspace

A brief, incomprehensive preview of Ireland’s Six Nations 2020, written fast

Wee Greig helpfully assists Johnny with his referee-handling

Having muffed the entire last calendar year, Irish rugby returns to Europe feeling sorry for itself. The normal provincial success continues, but means nothing come the bitter dawn of the first weekend of February. It’s Six Nations time.

Daddy Faz is our new leader and he’s talked a lot of fan-service shite about how we’ll be a pure-running Irish team, ferocious and feral and flames for eyes. His actual vision for the side will get its first public airing this weekend. Many of the personnel are the same as the World Cup – too many, in a particular rather than strategic sense – but this still represents a period of major change.

Yet change is not to be feared. The history of Ireland at Rugby World Cups shows that a constant state of flux is, paradoxically, needed to maintain standards as well as develop them. 2019 was as clear an example as 2007 of the desiccated horror of trying to take a successful side that has just hit a peak and shield it from the passage of time. The only ways to stop a tiger changing daily are death and taxidermy.

And, so, we come to another paradox. Minimal changes of personnel at this time are not necessarily expressions of fear of that which is new. We could have bucked out everyone over the age of 30 – but we’re not picking the 2023 World Cup team in January 2020. We must be prepared to keep evolving in perpetuity. No need for do-something panic now.

This weekend’s team:

Spuds: Healy, Herring, Furlong, Henderson, Ryan, Stander, van der Flier, Doris

Gravy: Murray, Sexton, Stockdale, Aki, Ringrose, Conway, Larmour

Seconds: Kelleher, Kilcoyne, Porter, Toner, O’Mahony, Cooney, Ross Byrne, Henshaw

Johnny Sexton is the captain, and this is OK. He remains our best ten by a way and is one of a handful of nailed-on starters. If there is an issue with his captaincy, it’s not his age or his ability – it’s his captaincy. The key part of the job is dealing with the ref and, while he seems a charming and self-effacing man when in his civvies, game-day Johnny Sexton is an insufferable wanker. He makes enemies of the whistlers and, while recently he has tried smiling and coercion (and looked unnatural doing so), he’s only one perceived affront away from calling Romain Poîte a brainless snaildick. Contrast with your memories of perfect-son-in-law Sam Warburton and the issue is clear.

Conor Murray’s selection is a poor call. Conor of the past 12 months or so is not the champion player of the years prior. He’s not been bad, per se, and his imperiousness may still return. The issue is alternatives. John Cooney has been the most influential player in Europe this year.

Peter O’Mahony has been unshovellable shite for a year and the fact he made the Six Nations squad at all should have been questioned. Overall, his previous body of work makes that the right call – but picking him in a match-day 23 is frankly the wrong choice. The starting back row looks well-balanced, and chucking 21-year-old Doris straight in barely feels like a risk. However, Max Deegan or Jack O’Donoghue should be on the bench – with the choice of which made on a tactical and stylistic basis rather than trying to decide which of the two great athletes in great form best deserve the number 20 shirt.

Anyway, it’s just one weekend. The variable calls:

  • which of four centres gets to play beside Ringrose?
  • Larmour or Addison, or maybe both?
  • the selected front rows look like our best six, but each of the calls could go either way – do we have a best front row, and do we even need a clear starting trio?

And so we will have room to breathe over the course of the tournament. A tournament we can win (we won’t, England will).

Now is the time for experimentation, to a point. But Andy Farrell does not get a free hit. Anything less than three wins is failure and, ultimately, we’re in it to win it.

Scotland by 50.

ENDS

Preview courtesy of EnzoM

WALES: The Dog That Didn’t Know Whether to be Under or Over

With apologies to Edmund Spenser:

One day they wrote his name upon the sheet,
But at night I came and washed it all away.
Again they wrote it in media and tweet
But in I crept, and made the twittering my prey.
Vain man! cried they, to wipe his name away
A frightening act, a cruel spine-tingler

To ensure Wayne Pivac forgets Aaron Shingler

Link to Squad for the 2020 Guinness Six Nations

Team to play Italy in Cardiff:

Leigh Halfpenny; Johnny McNicholl, George North, Hadleigh Parkes, Josh Adams; Dan Biggar, Tomos Williams; Wyn Jones, Ken Owens, Dillon Lewis, Jake Ball, Alun Wyn Jones (capt), Aaron Wainwright, Justin Tipuric, Taulupe Faletau.

Replacements: Ryan Elias, Rob Evans, Leon Brown, Cory Hill, Ross Moriarty, Rhys Webb, Jarrod Evans, Nick Tompkins.

Endings & Beginnings

‘Bloody Andy’s Taxis!’ Gats heads off to New Zealand

As Wales sings Po Atarau / Now is the Hour to bid a fond farewell to Warren Gatland and Shaun Edwards, and a jauntier ‘I’ll Bet you a Kangaroo’ to help Howley hop off, the mood in the Heimat is unexpectedly optimistic.

‘Come Back Shaun!’

Wayne Pivac seems to have seamlessly sewn himself into Warren’s catsuit, sorry tracksuit, and the players have gone through the four stages of post-RWC grief faster than a Greased-Zammit down a slippurly slurp℠.

Rather than the sour reek of sweaty anxiety, there’s the fresh morning air of new dawns and bright horizons. Players appear well-rested and happy to be in the new coaching set-up, and the injuries are not casting long shadows over the squad, even though some top players and Handsome Legends are missing.

But…

It’s in times like these that Wales can turn in some honking performances, especially in their opening 6N encounters at home, when all the optimism and expectation dissolves into blunt, turgid attack and weak, chaotic defence. Home cheers fade into murmurings about the bloody roof being open. Or closed.

But fair’s fair, a good old underdogging seems inappropriate, so like a Frankfurter in a bap I will settle for some in-between dogging followed by complete fantasy with my forecasts.

Saturday’s Match vs Italy

Wales have opted for a solid start, fielding an experienced line-up and just one new cap. We’ve flirted with North at 13 before and not much happened, good or bad. These days George is a more seasoned and moderate player, no longer the impetuous young buck throwing homophobes over his shoulder for fun. George has never been great positionally, but I hope his experience and maturity nails the position down for the duration of the Championship.

George takes the garbage out

McNicholl is the only first-capper and Halfpenny’s selection at 15 is a wise move, so we should see some exciting counterattacking running from our Welsh Johnny. Let’s hope it doesn’t lead to a lot of turnovers because his teammates can’t keep up.

Wales are likely to creak in the scrum, but lineouts should be efficient enough with Tipuric and Wainwright doing a lot of the leaping at the tail. As great as it is to see Faletau back, I’m not getting carried away as it is still a long way back to his 2015 Lions Tour form and fitness.

Ball will no doubt go about his ball-carrying like a pig snouts truffle, but he makes some hard yards and plenty of tackles. AWJ will hopefully be his niggly, majestic self and lead from the front.

Prediction: a stuttering 23-11 Wales victory.

Round 2. Away to Ireland

Our first away match is against Ireland, and the Irish look like tournament favourites with both a strong team littered with in-form players, and the desire to lay to rest their World Cup ghosts and memories.

Unfortunately, Scotland seem determined to undermine their own chances in the opener against Ireland, so Wales will be up against a green wave of Grand Slam expectation.

Prediction: a brave effort but a narrow 29-23 Welsh defeat.

Fantasy Rugby 1. Home to France

I think France are really fed-up of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory against Wales, and this will be a big match for them. Time to unburden some true Welsh pessimism and imagine the worst.

After a bruising encounter in Dublin, Faletau leaves for an early Bath with another broken arm-bone. North and Halfpenny haven’t recovered from their HIAs and Greased-Zammit starts on the wing with Welsh Johnny switching to full back. Pivac has his full ‘Welsh Way’ moment and picks Willowy Shingler at 6, drafts Owen Williams into inside centre to replace a stolid Mr. Glue, with Bury my Heart at Watkin’s Knee selected at OC.

Big Dan Biggar spends the entire match kicking grubbers into the French in-goal area for Zammit to chase like a spaniel. France score five breakaway tries and Owen Williams reveals his wonky temperament by being red carded for scramming Fickou in the face during a touchline tussle.

Prediction: Wales lose 13-49 and Barry John calls for Pivac to be replaced by Rob Howley

Fantasy Rugby 2. The Miracle in Twickenham

After the madness in Cardiff, normal service is resumed and Wales return to full strength, except for Faletau. Halfpenny and North are recalled, and Liam starts on the wing. Wainwright replaces Shingles, and a fired-up Moriarty comes in at 8.

England are marching towards a Slam after victories over France, Scotland, and the BIG ONE against Ireland. Eddie is basking in a contract extension until 2027, making him the best paid coach in RU history.

After 60 minutes England are winning comfortably without stretching away. Pivac plays his joker and turns to his Dragons on the bench. Dee for Owens, Brown for Lewis, Hill for Ball, and squad replacement Tyler Morgan for wee Georgie North.

My-oh-my, what a comeback. A brace from Brown and a classic outside break from Morgan brings the score back to within one point. Greased-Zammit enters the fray while England are camped on the Welsh 5-metre line with 5 minutes to go.

A re-set scrum and Dee strikes against the head! Tomos feeds Biggar who feigns a touch-kick but slips a pass to Morgan. A step sends Billy V into Row C, creating space to free Zammit! Zammit scorches the length of the field to score like a Welsh Andy Hancock – in half the time.

Prediction: England 21-25 Wales

Fantasy Rugby 3. Highland Flings in Cardiff

After their surprise win against France, new Scottish Player-Coach Finn Russell selects the same team while captaining the side for the second time. Wales are also unchanged.

Both sides are committed to playing high-risk running rugby under a closed roof. Madness ensues, and the game ends 49-all, while breaking all records for the highest number of knock-ons ever recorded in an international rugby match. Finn invites both sides for a celebratory night out in Newport, where more pints are spilled than consumed. News comes in from Scotland that Toony and Hoggy have eloped. Jim Telfer’s neck explodes.

Preview courtesy of MisterIks

On the telly this week (SIX NATIONS!!!)

Friday 31st January

Blues v Chiefs06:05Sky Sports Arena
Brumbies v Reds08:15Sky Sports Arena
Sharks v Bulls17:10Sky Sports Arena
Ireland U20 v Scotland U2019:15YouTube / RTÉ TWO
Wales U20 v Italy U2019:35S4C

Saturday 1st February

Sunwolves v Melbourne Rebels03:45Sky Sports Arena
Crusaders v Waratahs06:05Sky Sports Mix
Stormers v Hurricanes13:05Sky Sports Arena
Wales v Italy14:15BBC One / S4C
Cheetahs v Southern Kings15:00Freesports
Ireland v Scotland16:45ITV
France U20 v England U2020:00Sky Sports Arena
Los Jaguares v Lions23:00Sky Sports Mix

Sunday 2nd February

France v England (women)12:30Sky Sports Mix
Exeter v Harlequins13:00BT Sport 2
Wales v Italy (women)13:00BBC Two Wales
Ireland v Scotland (women)13:00BBC Alba / red button
France v England15:00BBC One

1,264 thoughts on “Six Nations Preview: Ireland and Wales

  1. Borderboy's avatarBorderboy

    Nigel always seemed to get the French games?

    Like

  2. tompirracas's avatartompirracas

    Lovely kick by Little Herschel and Seargel Peterson catches and dives over. Neat try.

    Like

  3. tompirracas's avatartompirracas

    I think you might be rught,BB. Chimpie needs to nick someone else’s analysis of Bill’s gigs.

    Like

  4. tompirracas's avatartompirracas

    Doc handed out the advice to the Stormers. Nice to you. Salman Moerat doing ok at the mo. Great player at school level and a franchise boy for the Stormers.

    Like

  5. tompirracas's avatartompirracas

    Stevie Kitshoff in for a second Stormers score from a line out drive.

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  6. tompirracas's avatartompirracas

    Big Siya hit fairly late and off with an injury.

    From the line out after the Hurricanes cough up a ball and Little Herschel scoots in.

    19-sip.

    Like

  7. Borderboy's avatarBorderboy

    I’m finding myself strangely unbothered by this afternoon/evening’s game (although I’ll still be a nervous wreck come kick off, and I’ll get a row from Mrs BB for shouting at the TV). I know we’re going to lose, the only question will be by how much.
    What does frustrate me is the fact that this team is probably our best set of players since 1999 and yet the level of success has been minimal, Is it just because the rest have got so much better, or is it our coaching? Will this group be a team that doesn’t fulfill its potential (and yes, Wales and Ireland fans, I DO think this team has a lot of potential still). It may be that players coming through (via the U20s and the Super Six) might not be as good individually but be a better team.
    As usual, what I’m thinking about saying in my head isn’t what I end up writing. Think you’ll all get my drift.

    Like

  8. tompirracas's avatartompirracas

    Jeez, the Hurricanes 10 Fletcher Smith is a monstrous step down on Beaudie.

    Like

  9. Borderboy's avatarBorderboy

    Anyway – Real Eddie!!!

    Like

  10. thaumaturge's avatarthaumaturge

    BB – I am not sanguine as Enzo. I think England will win, and Ireland will come third or fourth, with (sorry!) Wales and/or France ahead of us.

    You do have a good team, and it probably is the coaching. Maybe the players took control for the famous victories over England?

    Like

  11. thaumaturge's avatarthaumaturge

    Faf!

    Like

  12. tichtheid's avatartichtheid

    BB, my feeling is that we’ve improved our quality of players, as a side we are ten paces on from where we were at the beginning of the 6N.

    Trouble is, everyone has moved on too, so we are on step eleven and I see Ireland on those terms as being on step twenty at least, along with Wales and England, France for a change are an unknown quantity, but they are high teens at least.
    Italy are having a tough time, they are on about seven.

    Like

  13. tompirracas's avatartompirracas

    At the half, still 19-0 to the Stormers. Hurricanes look weak. Stormers hace some very good players but aren’t playing a game much beyond 9 – although Willemse looks as good as always when he has a bit of space.

    Like

  14. Borderboy's avatarBorderboy

    Thaum – it certainly seems as though the players ‘ignored’ (read Finn) Toonie’s instructions in the second half against England last year.

    Like

  15. yosoy's avataryosoy

    Getting Cheika for this match is the short straw.

    Like

  16. thaumaturge's avatarthaumaturge

    Love this segment on Alun Wyn.

    Like

  17. yosoy's avataryosoy

    I preferred the clip of Faletau clowning Haskell.

    Like

  18. thaumaturge's avatarthaumaturge

    Damn, I missed that, Yos!

    Oops, first bottle of wine deid already.

    Liked by 1 person

  19. flair99's avatarflair99

    BB, if France always see to get Nigel (and believe me, he wouldn’t be their first choice!) it’s simply that they always get a ref from the Pro14 as they can’t get a French nor an English one and we don’t get SH refs nowadays.
    There does not sem to be much choice.

    Like

  20. thaumaturge's avatarthaumaturge

    Oh, how I love the Six Nations!

    Like

  21. Borderboy's avatarBorderboy

    Already?!?!?!

    Anyway – I think 2 of the 3 teams with stripey flags will win this weekend.

    Like

  22. thaumaturge's avatarthaumaturge

    Alun Wyn looking fucking terrifying during the anthem-singing.

    Like

  23. Borderboy's avatarBorderboy

    Flair – we were talking about Nigel Starmer-Smith, the old BBC commentator, who was around at the same time as Bill McLaren.
    Although I can maybe understand your comment about ref Nige.

    Like

  24. flair99's avatarflair99

    One day I must go to Cardiff. Wonderful atmosphere. I’ve been to Racing stadium in Paris but this is twice as big, with far more passion.

    Like

  25. tompirracas's avatartompirracas

    Billy Proctor smashes Damian Willemse off the ball. Yellow card for cheating

    Like

  26. thaumaturge's avatarthaumaturge

    The mister’s in tears already.

    Liked by 1 person

  27. flair99's avatarflair99

    BB, oops!
    Hope Italy can fight as well as their U20s.

    Like

  28. Cheika on co-comms could be interesting.

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  29. flair99's avatarflair99

    Stupid penalty by Zanni.
    Where is ‘Pro?

    Like

  30. tompirracas's avatartompirracas

    Good start. Looking ok.

    Like

  31. Oh, that was a lovely inside ball to put Bellini into space.

    Like

  32. thaumaturge's avatarthaumaturge

    Some lovely play from Italy there.

    Like

  33. yosoy's avataryosoy

    Oh, that was a lovely inside ball to put Bellini into space.

    I’d love to see a rugby player in space.

    Liked by 3 people

  34. Borderboy's avatarBorderboy

    Hands in the ruck? Or could he play that because he was on his feet?

    Like

  35. “The mister’s in tears already.”

    Let him out of the bedroom to watch the game, Thauma!

    Liked by 6 people

  36. yosoy's avataryosoy

    Much more will to run back kicks. That’s the only obvious change so far.

    Like

  37. tichtheid's avatartichtheid

    How can the ref fall for so blatantly holding a player over the ball in the ruck?

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  38. @Yosoy – Squidge described the difference in styles, between Gats and Pivac as the former played to make space, the latter plays to find space.

    Like

  39. Not great for McNicholl, but I’m excited to see Tompkins in an international jersey.

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  40. 9-0 to Wales (silly attempted trip by an Italian prop, on 1/2p).

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  41. tompirracas's avatartompirracas

    Oh, Danny Boy. Would rather have had the scrum five but 9-0 after 14’s ok.

    Like

  42. Borderboy's avatarBorderboy

    Nice try from Wales. Don’t think he was near touch?

    Like

  43. yosoy's avataryosoy

    Tompkins featuring well in this cameo.

    Like

  44. tompirracas's avatartompirracas

    Cracking pass from Tompkins.

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  45. Wales go left, there’s a big overlap and 1/2p gives it to Adams, who scores in the corner (there’s a check for touch).

    14 – 0 Wales

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  46. tompirracas's avatartompirracas

    That’s a good try on review.

    Like

  47. falteringfullback's avatarfalteringfullback

    Wales for the most part looking worryingly competent and efficient.

    Although being helped by some slightly homer reffing.

    What happened to the chaotic, new coach confusion I was promised from Wales.

    Like

  48. tichtheid's avatartichtheid

    Is that Ben Whitehouse runnering touch?

    Like

  49. HalfP doing a little ‘class is permanent’ masterclass.

    Like

  50. tompirracas's avatartompirracas

    No, ticht. But one for you, Luke Pearce was born in Pontypool.

    Like

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