2020 dawns with the Springboks as World Champions, Rugby Championship Champions and Ranked Number One in the World! Why do I mention this you ask? Does it have any bearing on the likely fortunes of the teams? No. Not at all. But I’m gonna keep my bragging rights as long as I can, until, as Mick Jones growled, I go straight to hell, boy.
The Bulls:
After a surprisingly promising season last year when the Bulls played some decent rugby, they’ve been hammered with 18 players leaving. This includes their entire second-row stock of RG Snyman, Lood de Jager, Jason Jenkins and Hendré Stassen, Duane Vermeulen, another 4 backrowers, Handre Pollard, Jessie Kriel and the promising Duncan Matthews in the backs. Recruits? Juandre Kruger and Morne Steyn. Cough. They are, however, the only side in SA with a coach who has previous experience at this level.
Lots of grunt up front with Boks Trevor Nyakane and promising Lizo Gqoboka anchoring, but the rest of the pack has an almost journeyman quality to it. Behind them, two fringe Boks in Embrose Papier and Ivan van Zyl will be providing the service to one of past it Morne Steyn or hugely promising Manie Libbok (please not Marnitz Boshoff) with plenty of enterprise outside of that in 7z Boks Dylan Sage (centre, injured), Stedman Gans and Rosko Specman, as well as possible future Bok Burger Odendaal and the stalled Warrick Gelant.
Expect lots of huff and puff, the odd bit of absolute magic from Specman, and a string of defeats – starting with two away derbies in SA to the much-fancied Sharks and Stormers. They have two byes to follow (including the Blues), then two more home matches followed by a month in Australasia. It’s a bridge too far.
Clash Song for the season: ‘Lost in the Supermarket’ – they’ve been lousy at shopping and given away some bargains, struggling to deal with an increasingly commercialised world and rampant consumerism (thanks Wiki).
Position in SA Conference: Fighting for fourth with the Lions.
Overall: Trying to stay above the Sunwolves, Lions and assorted Aussie sides (and Blues).
The Lions:
Three times the bridesmaid, never the bride – and now in freefall as a combination of virtually the entire pack from the halcyon days of 2016 to 2018 having left or retired through injury leaving the Lions shattered. Particularly galling is the loss of Malcolm Marx, the only remaining world class forward, but Whiteley being perma-crocked and Kwagga Smith off to Japan has left both a skill and leadership void. Add in the departure of some fine backs in Faf de Klerk, Rohan Janse van Rensburg, Ruan Combrink, Lionel Mapoe, Madosh Tambwe, Howard Mnisi and Aphiwe Dyanti (still protesting his innocence over a drug bust) and the Lions are a shell of their former selves. A total loss of 17 players is scary.
In come old hands Jannie du Plessis and Willem Alberts to give a bit of nous and grunt to the pack, along with perma-crocked Jaco Kriel (out until April!), promising Bulls discards Roelof Smit and Duncan Matthews (as well as mercurial Jamba Ulengo) and Stormers reject Dan Kriel.
Not promising and it showed in their battering in Buenos Aires in Round 1. A Bok halfback pairing that isn’t much cop behind a pack coming second and a callow back division, the Lions do have some promising youngsters in the engine room – Carlu Sadie and Sti Sithole in particular, whilst if fit and firing, the like of Hacjivah Dayimani, Marnus Schoeman, Roelof Smit, and Alberts could cause defences some problems on the ground and in close quarters from the loose trio berths.
This is definitely a rebuilding season and the Reds will fancy a win this weekend at Ellis Park. The Stormers visit next, whereafter the Lions head down south for four weeks – the only saving grace being a relatively kind fixture list. A couple of heroic smash and grab wins won’t mask the Herculean task facing the heroes of southern hemisphere rugby as they struggle through the rubble of past glories.
Clash Song for the season: Ghetto Defendant – (misrepresenting the meaning, but that’s tough shit): The ghetto prince of gutter poets; Was bounced out of the room; By the bodyguards of greed; For disturbing the tomb.
Position in SA Conference: Fighting for fourth with the Bulls.
Overall: Trying to stay above the Sunwolves, Bulls and assorted Aussie sides (and Blues).
The Sharks:
Like the Bulls and Lions, they’ve lost a lot of players in the last few months – the Du Preez trio, Beast, Coenie Oosthuizen, Armand van der Merwe, Ruan Botha, Jacques Vermeulen and a few others. But they’ve got a couple of very good players in, too: Ox Nche and Henco Venter from the Cheetahs, and James Venter and Madosh Tambwe from the Lions. They (like all the SA sides bar the Bulls) have a newbie coach at this level, but have a good matchday 23 to call on, with a good front row and a back division that won’t stand back for many, with Curwin Bosch, Lukanyo Am, Makezoli Mapimpi, Sbu Nkosi, Madosh Tambwe, Andre Esterhuizen, Aphelele Fassi, Louis Schreuder and new sensational 9 Sanele Nohamba giving them options all over the park. But they may be a bit callow in the 2nd row and loose trio, given all the defections and over the course of the season and will be sorely tested up front, as well as when the benches are emptied.
Following a routine (and typically SA-boshtastic) win over the Bulls in Round 1, the Sharks head on tour early this – and they’re one SA side that seems to genuinely tour well (okish, more accurately). They open against the Highlanders, who will be a bit rusty after a bye in Round 1, and don’t have the worst itinerary, with matches against the Canes, Rebels and Reds to follow. Not too bad. The tour could decide their fate, so it’s imperative to get a couple of wins at least out of it. Do that, and they could really gel as a unit, but have the Crusaders as their last regular season match and it could be down to that to make it to play-offs.
The Sharks will score some scintillating tries this year and hopefully Bosch really shines at 10 now that The Family have all buggered off. But there’s a lingering feeling that up front they’ll be found wanting.
Clash Song for the season: Rock the Casbah – Coach Everitt is raw at this level, but he can sure call on some jet fighters in the back division to rock the casbah. Kings Park will rock to some stunning tries.
Position in SA Conference: Probably 3rd, but possibly 2nd in a dogfight with the Stormers and Jaguares.
Overall: Playoffs are not beyond them – expect an away QF for the ‘Banana Boys’.
The Stormers:
For the first time in this scribe’s (cough) history, he believes the Stormers are the real deal to go deep into the play-offs. They have a core of World Cup winning Boks to call on, including skipper Siya Kolisi, World Player of the year Pieter Steph du Toit, Steven Kitshoff, Bongi Mbonambi and Frans Malherbe in the front row, magical 9 Herschel Jantjies and 10 Damian Willemse. The Magnificent Seven form the core of a side that has Boks Wilco Louw and Scarra Ntubeni also bolstering the front row, with a glittering array of junior and age group Boks throughout the side, including the looming presence of Cobus Wiese (his breakout season?) and new sensation Jaco Coetzee (being billed as the next Schalk Burger). Plenty more promising stars up front too. Major losses include Eben Etzebeth and Damian De Allende.
The back division will rely on the services of Jantjies and Willemse to get them going and with the likes of Seabelo Senatla, Seargal Petersen, Leolin Zas, Dillyn Leyds and Jamie Roberts (um, yes, that one), they have plenty of gas and experience in the back division – even if it is a little callow once the bench is emptied (and injuries take their toll).
A thumping first round win, nilling the Canes at Newlands sets them up for the old North-South derby against the Bulls, followed by a trip to Jo’burg which shouldn’t hold too many fears for this side. The Jaguares and Blues at home is followed by a bye and the Sharks away – a very nice start to the season. The travel leg is a potential bastard with the Chiefs, Crusaders and Brumbies lying in wait on consecutive weekends towards the end of the regular season, but the Stormers should, by then, be relatively comfortable in the SA standings.
Clash Song for the season: The Magnificent Seven – when last did a SA coach have half a Bok World Cup winning side to call on? Knuckle merchants and your bankers too; Must get up and learn those rules; Hong Kong dollar, Indian cents; English pounds and Eskimo pence won’t stop this gnarly mob in the SA conference.
Position in SA Conference: Duking it out with the Jaguares for 1st.
Overall: Top the SA conference and it’s all the way to the Final, finish 2nd and probably an away semi loss.
The Jaguares:
To be honest, your humble narrator knows less about this mob than any of the other sides, if that’s possible given the evidence above. Suffice it to say, they’re pretty close to a full-strength Pumas side, bar a couple of blokes sunning themselves in balmy Leicester (or wherever).
Dished out a 2nd half hiding to the Lions in Round 1, but that means little given the quality of the opposition. A kind start though, with the dismantled Canes up next followed by the Reds (both at home), before they start the first journey: Stormers, Bulls and Sharks away. April will test their mettle, with away matches to the Brumbies, (Blues) and Crusaders, which will show if they’re as good as last years’ beaten finalists.
Clash Song for the season: Sandanista! – so an album, not a song. Obviously picked it ‘cause they’re Latin American and it’s close to Nicaragua right? Bugger off! It, like the 36 tracks on Sandanista!, is a homage to the massive travel schedule that the blokes from Buenos Aires face every year.
Position in SA Conference: Duking it out with the Stormers for 1st. Overall: Finalists again? Possibly – but more likely a last four loss. Just because.
Predictions courtesy of Deebee7
Further Reading
Deebee7 on why France v England was a good match
Utnapistm’s predictions for the weekend
On the telly this week
Friday 7th February
| Highlanders 20 – 42 Sharks | 06:05 | Sky Sports Action |
| Brumbies 39 – 26 Rebels | 08:15 | Sky Sports Action |
| Ireland U20 36 – 22 Wales U20 | 19:15 | BBC Two Wales / BBC Sport website / Red button / RTÉ Two |
| Scotland U20 17 – 21 England U20 | 19:15 | SRU website |
| Sale 28 – 7 Saracens | 19:45 | BT Sport 1 |
| France U20 31 – 19 Italy U20 | 20:00 | YouTube |
Saturday 8th February
| Chiefs 25 – 15 Crusaders | 06:05 | Sky Sports Action |
| Waratahs 12 – 32 Blues | 08:15 | Sky Sports Action |
| Lions 27 – 20 Reds | 13:05 | Sky Sports Action |
| Ireland 24 – 14 Wales | 14:15 | ITV / S4C |
| Stormers 13 – 0 Blues | 15:15 | Sky Sports Action |
| Scotland 6 – 13 England | 16:45 | BBC One / BBC sport website |
| France 45 – 10 Italy (women) | 20:00 | BBC Red Button / YouTube |
| Los Jaguares 23 – 26 Hurricanes | 23:00 | Sky Sports Action |
Sunday 9th February
| Scotland 0 – 53 England (women) | 12:10 | Sky Sports Action / BBC Alba |
| Ireland 31 – 12 Wales (women) | 13:00 | BBC Sport website / S4C / RTÉ Two |
| France 35 – 22 Italy | 15:00 | BBC One / BBC Sport website |
Ovally Balls 
words Deebs!
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Cheers Deebs.
Thaum , I hope you don’t mind, but I have a correction for the listings, Sky are showing England U20s home game only, I think, it’s Hull FC v Hull KR on instead.
The Sco v Eng U20s game can be viewed on the SRU website
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Cheers, Ticht – I’ve checked the Sky listings and you are right, it’s not listed. I’ve amended the post.
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Good Deebee, not looking good for the Nordvaal teams. Roelef Smit’s a very good player but too often injured. Duncan Matthews’s terrific but a bit of a stretch to call him promising as he’s 26 – and frequently injured. I like the Lions young backs but they’re just too young at the moment.
Agree about Nohamba, super player, and there’s Jayden Hendricks coming through at 9 (and even 10) for the Sharks.
Considering the quality of the youth in the area, the Stormers have been as disappointing as the Blues in the last 10 years. They might sneak over the line this year. A final at Newlands would be terrific.
Poor Siya got this nasty last week in case anyone’s not seen it. Out for 6-8 weeks:
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Aphelele Fassi’s 2nf try and the 5th overall for the Sharks today was really good. He’s very very nippy, lovely balance and strong – plus good skills. Could be a Bok, even as early as the Scotland tour.
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@FF (from the last blog) – “As an example, the Ospreys have been dire this season and in the few games AWJ and North played for them, it’s not like the standard was very high but they seem to be fine again once back with Wales, class will out and all that.”
This was exactly my thought though I have to say I would have put it slightly differently.
You’re far too kind.
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Gats will pick the Sarries lot for the Lions even if they haven’t played for anyone.
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I enjoyed watching the Bulls last season, Specman was always worth the entry fee
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Oh dear, that’s a pumping for the Heilanders.
Your guy looks good, Tam, but if those highlights are reflective of the Highlanders overall form they are going to have a tough season
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Tompkins and Carre will be back in Wales by then. With Liam Williams already gone, they’ll have fewer Lions than the Dragz.
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He’s from the same school as Diyanti, ticht. Dale College in King Williams Town in the Eastern Cape. They rarely have the size of pack to take on the biggest schools but produce some glorious runners and very skillful lads.
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Words DeeBee.
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As with Larry’s fine preview, I will read DeeBee’s ATL in the morning as part of my rugby Saturday.
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Wow, the Sharks 8 is pretty rapid.
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With this Ciara storm a-beckoning, will the ferries be ferrying plucky Welsh supporters to tomorrow’s game tonight?
Over here we are anticipating storm Sabine, not Chiara. Neither name change would hold back Harve Presnell though.
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The ‘weather system’ moving through these islands this weekend has been named Ciara.
Ireland by 40.
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Forgot that scene was shot in the Aviva Stadium.
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Whoops, should have reloaded before posting!
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It would be a miracle if Wales triumph tomorrow. Nothing points to a Welsh wyn.
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You’ve got two bloody Wyns!
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TWyns!
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“it’s Hull FC v Hull KR on instead.”
Big rugby weekend for Killsy.
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They can point at each other.
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Towyns.
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Trisk, if you have a bit of time in Clon you can pop along to Shannonvale House and the nearby mill – it’s very near the rugby club. Got some family connections to it: https://shannonvaleblog.wordpress.com/2016/05/12/shannonvale-house/
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And indeed Tywyns.
Pick the right one and you might even get an Abergynolwyn thrown in.
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Pfft. Llanfairpwllgwyngyllgogerychwyrndrobwllllantysiliogogogoch to you.
(Pronounced Llanfairpigglywiggly.)
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@Thaum – that’s a gwyn in there, not a wyn.
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It’s g-Wyn, which is short for good Wyn. You don’t want to see b-Wyn.
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b-Wyn is known to engage in head-patting *and* faking injuries.
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On Monday at work we’ll be making a Godwin Warren level crossing barrier (they were an old engineering company that used to make these things) for the very last time after quite a few years of it. If things go well tomorrow I might think of this one as a Godwin Wayne.
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This one’s really called Errol.
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Which is somewhere near Perth.
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All the best level crossing barriers are made to a design based on a boat’s mast and are operated by pedestals that you haven’t been able to buy for several decades.
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Haven’t even had a drink yet.
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It should be Godwin Adolf, obviously.
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Wee Scots v Baby Sais is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JygtQpp0RhY
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TRY Ireland!
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It’s quite windy in Cork, but the conversion is good.
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Irish hooker scored the try, then charged down another kick and nearly set up a second try. He’s all over the place!
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Good crowds at these kids’ games.
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Scottish pack crushes the England scrum. Then Chamberlain, the Scottish outside half, puts the ball dead from the penalty.
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OT scores Ireland’s second.
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Attacking lineout for the Scots fails to yield coffee and waffles.
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This Irish 11 is very good too; put in an excellent tackle earlier, and has now nicked the ball in Ireland’s own 22 and run most of the way up the park. Ball gets recycled and the scrum-half goes over the line.
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That’s 21-0 now!
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Probably means we’ll get hammered tomorrow.
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Try for England after Scots kicked a pen. England’s kicker adds the waffles, 3-7.
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I would get hammered tomorrow, but Mrs CMW is off to some pal’s 40th birthday party so I’ll be staying in with the kids. Gets me afternoon release for the match though so all for the best.
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