Self-fulfilling Prophesies

With two rounds down in the Six Nations, the shocking truth is that OvallyBalls underdoggers have been proven right – or perhaps have so disheartened their national sides that the players lost the will to play.

OvallyBalls prognosticators in action: “England are fecked, fecked, I tell you!

Here is the state of the nations:

TeamPlayedWonLostDrawnForAgainstPts DiffBonusPoints
Les Bleus du mal220059392019
Smiling Green Machine220043261719
Leeks211056243215
Saracens21103030015
Kiltie-wearers20201832-1422
Pasta-scoffers20202277-5500

From this, we can observe several things. One is that the rankings should be based secondarily on the fewest points conceded, as it indicates a better defence. Any fool can score tries against a weaker defence. In the case of England, we can see that their attack and defence are equally great / rubbish [delete as appropriate]. And Scotland are the only side to have achieved two bonus points, although perhaps for the wrong reasons.

However, it’s still wide open for at least four teams. The remaining fixtures are as follows:

22/02Italy v Scotland14:15
Wales v France16:45
23/02England v Ireland15:00
07/03Ireland v Italy14:15
England v Wales16:45
08/03Scotland v France15:00
14/03Wales v Scotland14:15
Italy v England16:45
France v Ireland20:00

The Super Saturday fixtures are, of course, being played in Heidelberg, so all true rugby fans should get their arses there.

My prediction is a narrow win for each of the home sides next weekend, which will bolster the excitement of the following rounds, except for Scottish fans, who will be gurning into their whiskey and cursing SuperSergio, homer refs and the professional era in general.

Meanwhile, this weekend we have Pro14 / English Premiership matches, if Dennis doesn’t menace all of them; Dragons v Treviso has already been cancelled.

Further Reading

TomPirracas has a better idea of how the Italy v Scotland match will go.

Chimpie is looking forward to this weekend’s ProWoo.

On the telly this week

Friday 14th February

Blues 8 – 25 Crusaders06:05Sky Sports Action
Rebels 24 – 10 Waratahs08:15Sky Sports Action
Glasgow 56 – 24 Zebre19:35Premier Sports 1
Munster 68 – 3 Kings19:35Premier Sports 2
Gloucester 15 – 26 Exeter19:45BT Sport 2

Saturday 15th February

Sunwolves 17 – 43 Chiefs03:45Sky Sports Mix
Hurricanes 38 – 22 Sharks06:05Sky Sports Arena
Brumbies 22 – 23 Highlanders08:15Sky Sports Arena
Lions 30 – 33 Stormers13:05Sky Sports Arena
Leinster 35 – 12 Cheetahs14:30Free Sports
Leicester 18 – 9 Wasps15:00BT Sport 1
Scarlets 9 – 14 Edinburgh15:00Premier Sports 2
Ospreys 26 – 24 Ulster17:15S4C / Premier Sports 2
Connacht 29 – 0 Cardiff19:35TG4 / Premier Sports 1
Los Jaguares 43 – 27 Reds23:00Sky Sports Action

Sunday 16th February

Northampton v Bristol15:00BT Sport 1

933 thoughts on “Self-fulfilling Prophesies

  1. tompirracas's avatartompirracas

    Cheers, gecko. The Umagas one surprised me. I file them in different decades.

    How about your Stormers? What a difference a top-class Welsh lad makes to the team.

    Like

  2. @TOM – Ja, I noticed Deebee is missing. After my side SMASHED his, stealing it with the try after the hooter.
    As for Dr Jamie Roberts, I can only assume his presence bring some calm as he hasn’t done that much ball in hand.

    Like

  3. Chimpie's avatarChimpie

    Oops. Missed this

    TEAM ANNOUNCEMENT 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿Scotland team named to face Italy in the 2020 Guinness Six Nations at Stadio Olimpico in Rome this Saturday #AsOne— Scottish Rugby (@Scotlandteam) February 19, 2020

    https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

    Like

  4. tichtheid's avatartichtheid

    Like

  5. Chimpie's avatarChimpie

    Hmph, that didn’t work

    Sutherland, McInally, Fagerson
    Toolis, Cummings
    Ritchie, watson, Bradbury
    Price, Hastings
    Johnson, Harris
    Kinghorn, Maitland, Hogg

    Brown, Dell, Nel, Gilchrist, Fagerson, Horne, Hutchinson, McGuigan.

    Like

  6. Chimpie's avatarChimpie

    *Sigh*

    Like

  7. tichtheid's avatartichtheid

    Bradbury needs a big game to keep his place. Haining is unlucky, Fagerson the younger looked very hungry last week, he will be determined to make his mark when he comes on.

    I’ve nothing against Chris Harris and Sam Johnson, but I get the impression that Matt Scott must be a fallout casualty of the Finn Affair – keeping the club mate alongside a relatively inexperienced fly half makes sense, but I’d love to see Scott back in Scotland colours.

    Presumably Darcy Graham is still not 100% fit

    Like

  8. yosoy's avataryosoy

    I heard that Italy are planning on naming their strongest team this week. That would be bad news for Scotland.

    Like

  9. Is this the game Parisse comes back for the one-off goodbye? In that case, I hope Italy sneaks it.

    Like

  10. Chimpie's avatarChimpie

    Don’t get Jones being dropped, or Haining for that matter.

    Fagerson (M) is a good player but a bit lightweight in attack & defence.

    Like

  11. Chimpie's avatarChimpie

    Italy by 27. Got one of my bad feelings about this.

    Like

  12. Chimpie's avatarChimpie

    ‘Now what has Cheesy the Llama done?’

    firstly, I object to such pigeonholing, secondly nothing whatsoever. I’m just being persecuted.

    Like

  13. dovahkin79's avatardovahkin79

    pffft

    Like

  14. Chimpie's avatarChimpie

    Pardon you

    Like

  15. Chimpie's avatarChimpie

    This team is going to give palpitations to the toonie oot brigade.

    Like

  16. dovahkin79's avatardovahkin79

    Scotland are too good for Italy Sergio or no Sergio.

    Like

  17. slademightbe#42again's avatarsladeis#42

    I think it’s right not to pick Skinner.
    I watched vs. Glos. last w/end and he hasn’t got his zip back yet……………………..when he’s fit he’s very good and worthy of first XV

    Like

  18. Chimpie's avatarChimpie

    Late stage Sergio would only weaken the current Italian back row. Would be a spot of foot-shooting to pick him.

    Like

  19. Chimpie's avatarChimpie

    @slade

    Yes, too soon for Skinner he’s only played about 30 minutes at top level after 6 months out.

    Like

  20. Sergio’s test win percentage is 24.6% If selected for this game and they win, he cracks 25%. Just.
    Plus a last chance to see Sergio go all ‘lo farò io’

    Like

  21. Chimpie's avatarChimpie

    Shame Graham isn’t quite fit too.

    Only real points of contention for that squad are Harris (who needs a big game to justify his selection IMO) for Jones and subsequent inclusion of McGuigan (solid enough option). Would have been more justification for playing Harris in the Ming at Murrayfield last outing and Jones on a hopefully drier track in Italy. And dropping Haining who’s done nowt wrong for Fagerson is a bit odd. Haining brings a good bit of fizzicality as well as work rate.

    Toolis is the sensible option at lock with smaller Gray out, he’s our best for lineout & scrum, and hopefully combining with Rambo will sort the lineout, which has been pish onna stick. Bit of a toss up with Brown overall, Rambo’s darts are better & he’s quicker round the park.

    Like

  22. Chimpie's avatarChimpie

    Farrell copying Deccie and reusing team sheets from the last outing.

    Ireland: Larmour; Conway, Henshaw, Aki, Stockdale; Sexton, Murray; Healy, Herring, Furlong, Henderson, Ryan, O’Mahony, van der Flier, Stander.

    Replacements: Kelleher, Kilcoyne, Porter, Toner, Doris, Cooney, Byrne, Earls.

    Like

  23. flair99's avatarflair99

    Scotland too strong for Italy, with or without Sergio, who by the way has been playing really well for Toulon lately. But Toulon would smash Italy, so he probably gets an easy ride. Anyway, I think Sergio’s cameo for his last game was announced vs England.

    Like

  24. tompirracas's avatartompirracas

    It would be better if Sergio’s winning last appearance was against England.

    Like

  25. dovahkin79's avatardovahkin79

    Italy will beat England one day.

    I know its not really how things work but the longer we are the only team to never have lost to them, the more likely it seems to be that it will be next time.

    Like

  26. I think Toastie the Llama has a nicer ring to it. Should have done both sides, not just the top.

    Liked by 5 people

  27. yosoy's avataryosoy

    Italy are winning on Saturday. I’ve seen visions. What’s that I can see through the fog? Is it Ben O’Keefe asking the TMO the wrong question?

    Like

  28. tichtheid's avatartichtheid

    I was looking for a joke that I’d posted a couple of months ago from Arthur Rubinstein about his age, when I googled Tichtheid and Rubinstein an old version of AOD came up – I thought it had all disappeared.

    I had a bit of fun for five minutes looking through some posts from seven years ago

    https://artofdomination.wordpress.com/2013/02/20/as-if-by-magic-huff-time-huff-wits-and-huff-the-sides-are-un-the-shut/comment-page-4/#comments

    Liked by 3 people

  29. tichtheid's avatartichtheid

    “yosoy says:
    February 20, 2013 at 4:37 pm
    Parisse banned for 30 days.”

    I guess he won’t be playing against Scotland, then

    Like

  30. yosoy's avataryosoy

    Ha! What was he banned for that time?

    Like

  31. tichtheid's avatartichtheid

    Would that be the time he had a go at a ref?

    Like

  32. yosoy's avataryosoy

    Good biscuits at the second attempt.

    Italy’s team manager Luigi Troiani has confirmed that Parisse’s suspension for insulting the referee in a French league game last month had been reduced to 20 days on appeal. And that means he can return to action this weekend after missing Italy’s 26-9 home loss against Wales 11 days ago.

    Parisse, 29, was banned for 40 days – 10 days of which were suspended – after being sent off in a Top 14 fixture between his club Stade Français and Bordeaux Bègles.

    Also, from the same piece, 7 years ago is a long, long time…

    Paddy Jackson is in line to start for Ireland in Saturday’s match with France following a fitness test on Thursday. The fly-half had been suffering from a hamstring strain picked up in training but came through a kicking routine at the Aviva Stadium.

    Like

  33. thaumaturge's avatarthaumaturge

    Well found, Ticht!

    Like

  34. yosoy's avataryosoy

    Big England win this weekend. Maybe even a record win.

    Like

  35. yosoy's avataryosoy

    Pivac should get Shakin’ Stevens in.

    Liked by 1 person

  36. tompirracas's avatartompirracas

    It must have been interesting for Bono to meet highly-paid Irish people who pay tax in the country.

    Liked by 5 people

  37. Ireland ploughing the English furrow for that elusive top 2 inches.

    Rumour has it that both camps invited Chris de Burgh.

    Liked by 1 person

  38. Shaky and Bonnie Tyler. You could pay them in gumshields.

    Like

  39. tompirracas's avatartompirracas

    It’s got the smack of Lancaster England to it. Ireland to lose to France on the last day of the tournament.

    Liked by 2 people

  40. OurTerry's avatarOurTerry

    Having Bono invited to training reminds me of when Princes Harry & William would walk into the England dressing room. And make sure they were filmed doing it, if course.

    Like

  41. tompirracas's avatartompirracas

    I can’t believe that proud Welsh supporter Prince William would’ve gone to the English changing room.

    Like

  42. That old AOD link is lovely. A plague on anyone who trolled there for the sake of it.

    Like

  43. Borderboy's avatarBorderboy

    That was a nice trip down memory lane. I’m sure I’ve tried to find the old AoD stuff, but nothing would come up. Wonder how or why its re-appeared. Also nice to see some long-lost names commenting there

    Like

  44. flair99's avatarflair99

    That old AoD is a bit sad really. So many quality posters gone missing…

    Liked by 6 people

  45. Meanwhile I’m still having a strange relationship with this year’s 6 Nations. It is only very slowly sinking in now what a superb weekend of fixtures we have before us. Every match has a huge amount at stake.

    Like

  46. flair99's avatarflair99

    That old AoD link…

    Like

  47. I feel some clarifications are in order:
    1) I do far fewer corporate lunches than any of you imagine. Don’t have time for such luxuries most of the time;
    2) I work bloody hard for the ones I do get – none of the consultancy schmoozing I’m outrageously accused of here;
    3) I have neither butler nor chauffeur to assist (in fact after some bastard broke my door handle trying to steal my car on Friday night, I have to get into my own driver’s seat from the back or the passenger side. Outrageous! );
    4) Gecko manages to sneak in after his side snuck in against a rank, depleted Lions outfit and waffles on imperiously about his Bok laden side as if they cruised? Pffft!

    Wounded, I am. But like Chumbawumba on the tiles, when I get knocked down, I get up again! Take that earworm you bastards!

    Liked by 2 people

  48. OurTerry's avatarOurTerry

    @tomp

    Prince Billy before he changed sides for PR purposes

    Like

  49. Chimpie's avatarChimpie

    Good grief I was in my 30s when I was posting on AOD

    Like

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