Self-fulfilling Prophesies

With two rounds down in the Six Nations, the shocking truth is that OvallyBalls underdoggers have been proven right – or perhaps have so disheartened their national sides that the players lost the will to play.

OvallyBalls prognosticators in action: “England are fecked, fecked, I tell you!

Here is the state of the nations:

TeamPlayedWonLostDrawnForAgainstPts DiffBonusPoints
Les Bleus du mal220059392019
Smiling Green Machine220043261719
Leeks211056243215
Saracens21103030015
Kiltie-wearers20201832-1422
Pasta-scoffers20202277-5500

From this, we can observe several things. One is that the rankings should be based secondarily on the fewest points conceded, as it indicates a better defence. Any fool can score tries against a weaker defence. In the case of England, we can see that their attack and defence are equally great / rubbish [delete as appropriate]. And Scotland are the only side to have achieved two bonus points, although perhaps for the wrong reasons.

However, it’s still wide open for at least four teams. The remaining fixtures are as follows:

22/02Italy v Scotland14:15
Wales v France16:45
23/02England v Ireland15:00
07/03Ireland v Italy14:15
England v Wales16:45
08/03Scotland v France15:00
14/03Wales v Scotland14:15
Italy v England16:45
France v Ireland20:00

The Super Saturday fixtures are, of course, being played in Heidelberg, so all true rugby fans should get their arses there.

My prediction is a narrow win for each of the home sides next weekend, which will bolster the excitement of the following rounds, except for Scottish fans, who will be gurning into their whiskey and cursing SuperSergio, homer refs and the professional era in general.

Meanwhile, this weekend we have Pro14 / English Premiership matches, if Dennis doesn’t menace all of them; Dragons v Treviso has already been cancelled.

Further Reading

TomPirracas has a better idea of how the Italy v Scotland match will go.

Chimpie is looking forward to this weekend’s ProWoo.

On the telly this week

Friday 14th February

Blues 8 – 25 Crusaders06:05Sky Sports Action
Rebels 24 – 10 Waratahs08:15Sky Sports Action
Glasgow 56 – 24 Zebre19:35Premier Sports 1
Munster 68 – 3 Kings19:35Premier Sports 2
Gloucester 15 – 26 Exeter19:45BT Sport 2

Saturday 15th February

Sunwolves 17 – 43 Chiefs03:45Sky Sports Mix
Hurricanes 38 – 22 Sharks06:05Sky Sports Arena
Brumbies 22 – 23 Highlanders08:15Sky Sports Arena
Lions 30 – 33 Stormers13:05Sky Sports Arena
Leinster 35 – 12 Cheetahs14:30Free Sports
Leicester 18 – 9 Wasps15:00BT Sport 1
Scarlets 9 – 14 Edinburgh15:00Premier Sports 2
Ospreys 26 – 24 Ulster17:15S4C / Premier Sports 2
Connacht 29 – 0 Cardiff19:35TG4 / Premier Sports 1
Los Jaguares 43 – 27 Reds23:00Sky Sports Action

Sunday 16th February

Northampton v Bristol15:00BT Sport 1

933 thoughts on “Self-fulfilling Prophesies

  1. OurTerry's avatarOurTerry

    @chimpie

    Dawson was a good SH but a terrible tit.

    He’s not a good SH anymore but he’s still…..

    Like

  2. slademightbe#42again's avatarsladeis#42

    Chimpie
    Q.E.D.

    except, sub excellent for good, for the sake of balance.

    Like

  3. Chimpie's avatarChimpie

    Wot I fink will happen this weekend:

    Italy by 48
    Wales by 8
    England by 7

    Like

  4. slademightbe#42again's avatarsladeis#42

    Scotland that good?

    Liked by 1 person

  5. Chimpie's avatarChimpie

    You’re right. Italy by 55

    Like

  6. Triskaidekaphobia's avatarTriskaidekaphobia

    the person running against Mitch McConnell in Kentucky is a decorated marine fighter pilot, she was the first woman to fly these machines

    @ticht

    IIRC – somewhere down south (prob Georgia)a couple of Senate cycles ago, the Dem was a decorated vet who’d lost an arm and leg on active service and still lost to the Republican – who had a service record about as good as Trump’s. Recall the people they dug out to denigrate Kerry’s Vietnam service – when Bush managed to wangle a slot in the Texas air branch of the National Guard.

    As much as it might look hopeful – I’d be astonished if McConnell were defeated….

    Like

  7. Triskaidekaphobia's avatarTriskaidekaphobia

    Someone told me Wales had two other scrum halfs at the same time as Edwards who would have walked into any other international side

    I’d concur with those above that Chico Hopkins and Brynmor Williams are the two that’s generally understood

    Like

  8. dovahkin79's avatardovahkin79

    pfft

    Like

  9. tompirracas's avatartompirracas

    Gecko, more than claim a turnaround that 1970 win is called the Chico Hopkins game. There’s an old interview with him somewhere on Wales Online that gives the flavour of him. Gifted and sure of his gifts.

    Anyway, Dai Bishop is the answer to best Welsh 9. Man was a rugby genius.

    Like

  10. tompirracas's avatartompirracas

    Brynmor went on the 77 Lions tour when still reserve to Edwards for Wales. And for Cardiff too I think.

    Like

  11. tompirracas's avatartompirracas

    Times have changed a bit. Now most countries have at least 3 top-class scrum halves who’d get in the England team.

    Like

  12. yosoy's avataryosoy

    Anyway, Dai Bishop is the answer to best Welsh 9. Man was a rugby genius.
    Can’t stand him (and not in a ‘that Peter Stringer annoys me’ way). A loathsome fucker.

    Like

  13. dovahkin79's avatardovahkin79

    Dodnt Wales lose that game from the MP clip?

    Like

  14. OurTerry's avatarOurTerry

    David Bishop is not especially popular in Luke McAlister’s family

    Like

  15. yosoy's avataryosoy

    15. Leigh Halfpenny (87 Caps)
    14. George North (93 Caps)
    13. Nick Tompkins (2 Caps)
    12. Hadleigh Parkes (27 Caps)
    11. Josh Adams (23 Caps)
    10. Dan Biggar (81 Caps)
    9. Gareth Davies (52 Caps)
    1. Wyn Jones (24 Caps)
    2. Ken Owens (75 Caps)
    3. Dillon Lewis (24 Caps)
    4. Jake Ball (44 Caps)
    5. Alun Wyn Jones (C) (136 Caps)
    6. Ross Moriarty (43 Caps)
    7. Justin Tipuric (74 Caps)
    8. Taulupe Faletau (74 Caps)

    Replacements:

    16. Ryan Elias (11 Caps)
    17. Rob Evans (37 Caps)
    18. Leon Brown (8 Caps)
    19. Will Rowlands (*Uncapped)
    20. Aaron Wainwright (20 Caps)
    21. Tomos Williams (18 Caps)
    22. Jarrod Evans (5 Caps)
    23. Johnny McNicholl (2 Caps)

    Like

  16. yosoy's avataryosoy

    I’ve only skim-read that. Too many Turks, no doubt.

    Like

  17. utnapistm's avatarutnapistm

    Utnap’s unvariably unaccurate un-understandable unwelcome predictions#

    Scotland to best Italy by 16. Odd selections from Gregor (no Matt Scott? Insane!) but halves are growing into their roles and front row is looking good. Need the BR to create, as well as spoil, but they have the capacity to do so. Hogg due a big one
    Italy are building, but not yet. Canna doesn’t work at 12 and they need to dump the kiwi FB. Front 5 looking good, as, to be fair are the BR. But that will be ruined by the swansong of the biggest ego in rugby. On the right paths, but a way to go

    Wales to best France by 6. France live up to brillliant but inconsistent stereotypes this year, but 1st away game, and with Wales stung by playing sh*t in Dublin, the home side to edge it. Watkin to add some midfield defence, AWJ angry. Should be enough. If Dan isn’t fit, and the idiot coach picks Shingler, France by 30

    England to scrape home vs Ireland by 1. Hard to pick. Both boast formidible front 5s. Ireland edge the Vunipola/Tuilagi less ball carrier battle. BR very even but England have breakdown operators in many positions. Irelands centres are better on attack but they dont have the influence that Englands can do.on their day. Ireland dont have the wide strike of May, and so much depends on Sexton. Murray/Cooney better than whatever journeymen England put out but Lamour far better than whatever “scored 3 tries in a 7z game” England put in at 15. Home advantage sees England edge it

    #special pre-team announcement edition (nothing to do with a planned bender business trip in Yokohama

    Liked by 1 person

  18. utnapistm's avatarutnapistm

    Fck. Post my magnum opus, and in the meantime that kiwi/scarlet guy announces his team, invalidating my comment!

    The Tompkinator and “played a few seasons for the crusaders” MacNicholl?
    No Watkin? No LRZ? Wyn “they all cheat against me”
    France by 20 (sees BDB playing) 5

    Like

  19. yosoy's avataryosoy

    Front 5 looking good, as, to be fair are the BR. But that will be ruined by the swansong of the biggest ego in rugby.

    Very harsh on Callum Brayley.

    Liked by 1 person

  20. dovahkin79's avatardovahkin79

    Scotland too good for Italy by about 20 odd points.

    Wales too strong at home against France

    Not seen teams for the other match yet, but if injuries / absences are as expected Ireland will be more powerful with the better half backs which should be enough given the likely conditions.

    Like

  21. utnapistm's avatarutnapistm

    Actually that discussion of Wales 9s in the 70s, and my own thoughts about a few current players, brings another comment to mind

    Chico Hopkins is a legend amongst guys my age (Welsh guys, and those like me who are not strictly speaking Welsh)
    Played 2 games cos he was behind an immortal. Similarly Gats (as a player got zero caps) and Fitzpatrick or Dean Richards and Mike Teague, and no doubt many more. Most will get their opportunity eventually

    Ok, game was different (no subs, for one) but if a player was second best in their position, no disgrace in being the understudy. Nowadays, the bench seems key, so the 2nd choice has a massive opportunity to change a game in the last 20 mins

    Shoehorning Canna, Italy’s 2nd best 10, and a very good player, into 12 is poor and he struggles.

    Even England should make a call on Farrell or Ford at 10 and pick an actual centre
    (hesitant to open an England centre debate, but Farrell is a 10 at intl. Everything good he does at 12, is because he is a very very good 10. Must be an actual 12 in England who can run lines and commit defenders?). Farrell at 10 for me, and Ford on bench, but can understand the other way round. Just not both together.

    Like

  22. yosoy's avataryosoy

    I still think Canna at 12 is a bad idea, but it won’t matter this week as Italy are winning:

    Like

  23. tompirracas's avatartompirracas

    Gecko, Chico Hopkins also beat the All Blacks for Llanelli.

    Like

  24. dovahkin79's avatardovahkin79

    We are very short of centres.

    Faz is probably the best 10 and the best 12 in England (qualified to play for us that is).

    Like

  25. utnapistm's avatarutnapistm

    Wow, my predictions are especially poor this week

    Thought the were bringing back Sergio “match winning drop goal” Roy of the Rovers” Parisse this time.
    That BR should keep it respectable for Italy

    Looking ahead a few rounds: Engalnd 63 Sergio 3

    Liked by 1 person

  26. utnapistm's avatarutnapistm

    @Dov

    Did Ben T’eo die in vain?

    Tuilagi and Slade (I know they are both injured) are 13s by preference, but both are better 12s than Farrell.
    Get Farrell can do a job there in an injury crisis, but for me he is a 10 and a damn good one.

    Must be an actual 12 in England somewhere?

    Like

  27. dovahkin79's avatardovahkin79

    T’eo cant pass the ball more than 3m. Neither can Manu. I think you need some ability to pass the ball from 12 even if you’re against the general idea of 2 playmakers. . Slade could do a job there in theory I suppose.

    Like

  28. OurTerry's avatarOurTerry

    @utna

    Must be an actual 12 in England somewhere?

    George Burgess is now at Wigan

    Like

  29. tichtheid's avatartichtheid

    Edinburgh have one of those stoopid videos up for the team announcement, so

    Edinburgh (v Connacht at BT Murrayfield, Friday 7.35pm):

    D Hoyland, E Sau, M Bennett, M Scott, D van der Merwe; S Hickey, N Groom;

    P Schoeman, M Willemse, S Berghan, S South, L Carmichael, N Haining, L Crosbie, V Mata.

    Substitutes: C Fenton, M McCallum, D Winning, J Hodgson, J Barclay, C Shiel, J van der Walt, G Taylor.

    Like

  30. tichtheid's avatartichtheid

    Like

  31. tompirracas's avatartompirracas

    DCB.

    Players who played 12 last week in the English top league:

    Bath – Matavesi, Worcester – Venter
    Quins – Lasike, Irish – Hepetema
    Leicester – Eastmond, Wasps – Gopperth
    Sarries – DCB, Sale – Janse van Rensburg
    Glos – 36, Exeter – Sam Hill
    Bristol – Bedlow, Northampton – Hutchinson

    5 English qualified players (plus Gopperth? Who’s a kiwi anyway)

    Three long over the hill. Bedlow and Sam Hill the others. There’s that big bloke at Gloucester as well – Atkinson – but he’s pushing 30.

    Like

  32. Thought Watkin might have started but there we are. Haven’t seen Rowlands play but we do seem to be groping in the dark regarding who plays alongside AWJ.

    Do Canna and Allan swap positions? Just looking at them physically I would pick Canna at 10 and TA at 12.

    Like

  33. utnapistm's avatarutnapistm

    When you look at 10 vs 12 (and I mean a 2nd 5/8, traditional IC rather than a surrogate 8 battering ram) many of the skills are similar. Pass off both hands both long and short, kicking game, step off either foot, not necessarily fast per se, but acceleration, tackling big straight runners.

    But, the timing is all different on attack and also on defence.
    Moreover, the mentality is different. A 10 looks outwards, a 12 inwards.
    Getting the ball, a 10 must look to go outside the forward rush. He goes off his inside foot and looks to beat the defenders on their outside shoulder and commit the 2nd men out defender to make space for the outside men (albeit the greatest of them all, BJ, beat most of the defenders on their inside shoulder, but that was a result of settimg them up for 60 mins)

    The 12 starts outside but comes off his outside foot to run against the grain and look for “weak branches” in the outrushing defence. Takes more punishment, but makes more ground. (and is often a decoy)

    Of course, good players can do both, but everyone has natural strengths.
    Also, on passing, a 10 passes with consideration, a 12 with instinct

    Liked by 3 people

  34. utnapistm's avatarutnapistm

    And, just to contradict myself, the greatest singke performance I have ever seen at 10 was by one D Charvet (imho the greatest 12 ever, even better than GAV!) playing 10 for the Barbarians (when that meant something) against the Wallabies (World champs at that time)

    How times have changed

    Liked by 1 person

  35. tompirracas's avatartompirracas

    I see Andy Hancock died yesterday. Here’s his famous try:

    Liked by 1 person

  36. utnapistm's avatarutnapistm

    Btw, i love parenthesis ({[very very]}) very much

    Liked by 1 person

  37. utnapistm's avatarutnapistm

    George Burgess is now at Wigan

    Hope there is a lancastrian version of Matty Johns and his crew who will make fun of Gurgess’ (reputedly) giant man-sausage so that the poor lad doesnt miss Sydney too badly

    Like

  38. utnapistm's avatarutnapistm

    However, i dont love html tags

    Like

  39. utnapistm's avatarutnapistm

    Whats the rules for a steal nowadays?

    TMO “Is there any reason why I cannot award the steal?”

    Liked by 2 people

  40. utnapistm's avatarutnapistm

    Cant wait for Nige 2.0 – the video abiturĂ©

    Like

  41. utnapistm's avatarutnapistm

    Steal dedicated to Didier Camberabero.
    The forgotten man in that great great backline

    Like

  42. OurTerry's avatarOurTerry

    Steal dedicated to Didier Camberabero.

    In my memory I can only hear that name as said by Bill McLaren or Eddie Butler, and certainly not by Nigel Starmer-Smith

    Liked by 1 person

  43. Reward for a heavy-duty steal.

    Liked by 1 person

  44. utnapistm's avatarutnapistm

    That’s just out of this world

    Like

  45. That French try was just rude. But inna good way

    Like

  46. Chimpie's avatarChimpie

    @Ticht

    Weather forecast up here for tomorrow eve is pish. Literally. With wind.

    It’ll be like the Scarlets game, hopefully with a similar result

    Like

  47. Chimpie's avatarChimpie

    Penaud not back yet. Boo

    Like

  48. thaumaturge's avatarthaumaturge

    Un chat, un gros et un crétin comme finnisseurs. Merveilleux.

    Like

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