You might think that Cardiff are completely out of the Champions Cup, but you’d be wrong! And you’d probably get very rich betting on them to go through. They just need a bonus-point victory over Racing 92 in Paris and for Ulster to not get more than one point.
Connacht, languishing at the bottom of their pool on one point, also have a theoretical chance.
All the permutations have been not very clearly worked out by BBC Sport.
Onna telly this weekend
Showing matches that are televised in the UK and Ireland or on popular subscription services. Bold indicates free-to-view. Times are in the UK zone, so adjust as necessary.
Friday 19th January
| Connacht v Bristol | 20:00 | TNT Sports 2 |
| Glasgow v Toulon | 20:00 | TNT Sports 1 |
| Scarlets v Edinburgh | 20:00 | S4C / iPlayer |
| Gloucester v Castres | 20:00 | Viaplay Sports 1 |
Saturday 20th January
| Bulls v Bordeaux | 13:00 | TNT Sports Extra |
| Harlequins v Ulster | 13:00 | TNT Sports 2 |
| Black Lion v Clermont | 13:00 | epcrugby.com |
| Racing 92 v Cardiff | 15:15 | S4C / TNT Sports 2 |
| Leicester v Leinster | 15:15 | TNT Sports 1 |
| Oyonnax v Cheetahs | 15:15 | epcrugby.com |
| Treviso v Montpellier | 15:15 | epcrugby.com |
| Munster v Northampton | 17:30 | RTÉ2 / TNT Sports 1 |
| Stade Français v Stormers | 17:30 | TNT Sports 2 |
| Saracens v Lyon | 20:00 | TNT Sports 1 |
Sunday 21st January
| Sale v La Rochelle | 13:00 | ITV1 / STV / TNT Sports 2 |
| Perpignan v Newcastle | 13:00 | Viaplay Sports 2 |
| Lions v Ospreys | 13:00 | Viaplay Sports 1 |
| Toulouse v Bath | 15:15 | TNT Sports 2 |
| Bayonne v Exeter | 17:30 | TNT Sports 2 |
| Dragons v Sharks | 17:30 | Viaplay Sports 2 |
Ovally Balls 
Ulster have only themselves there for a 70 plus metre try by Lynagh Turning backs on Marcus Smith deserves to be punished like that
LikeLike
And again !!!
LikeLike
Bloody hell! We are shit.
LikeLike
21-7
LikeLike
Could so easily be the other way round – consoling thought fit Thaum !
LikeLike
Yeah, but it isn’t. :,-(
LikeLike
Baloucoune has been absolutely terrible, apart from that one line break (that he should arguably have tried to finish himself).
LikeLike
Well that was a display of fortuitous finishing and power scrummaging. Playing with the wind behind them did not seem to help Ulster at all
LikeLike
Wallowing in disgust. The ref is not helping, but we are not helping ourselves either.
LikeLike
Now old man Care walks in. 28-7
LikeLike
Care now used as a road bump to thwart. Ulster. Age to the fore
LikeLike
TRY Kitshoff! Too little, too late? And there are questions being raised.
LikeLike
Fuck. No try.
LikeLike
Ulster able to do anything Quins do. – except score
LikeLike
Raynal: if you’re going to ping Ulster for playing the ball on the floor, then you should have done it on the 54 earlier occasions that the Quins did it.
LikeLike
Fin Baxter must be Scottish with a name like that, he is a beast
LikeLike
I hate rugby.
LikeLike
Now “the giant” strolls over. 33-7
LikeLike
End to end try now. Probably including a forward pass but still given 40-7
LikeLike
TRY McCloskey!
LikeLike
Finally Ulster get try back , Timoney the driving force before McClusky powers over
LikeLike
This is the worst fucking performance in a very long time.
LikeLike
Another instance of Ulster going to sleep and a lucky ball bounce. 47-14
LikeLike
Good effort by Baloucoune, but in touch before the ball goes down. But wasn’t Smith’s tackle over the shoulder? Shouldn’t that have at least been an ULS penlaty?
LikeLike
TRY Stockdale! 2 mins to get a try BP. :-)
LikeLike
Quick try for Ulster and a brave run at the end 47-19 Key was those tries against run of play in first half
LikeLike
Refit – don’t get me started on the reffing. With a different ref, we might have won that.
But I’m also completely enraged at how poor we were nevertheless.
LikeLike
Leicester vs Leinster. Can they both lose?
LikeLike
oofya, Byrne felt that
LikeLike
Can they both lose?
Was hoping the same for Racing and Cardiff, as that leaves us in fourth place!
LikeLike
DiscoveryPlus is such a good app. I’ve just had a promotion for “Leicester vs Leinster – Up Next!”, just as they transition to Munster/Saints.
LikeLike
At half-time, they played the same recap of the first half five times in a row, until we cottoned on that the second half must have started. Had to reload to get it.
Then we also got the promotion for Leicester v Leinster, as well as one for Quins v Ulster.
LikeLike
TRY Frisch! (sp?) Takes the score at Thomond Park to 10-7, with a Norsehamptoner just gone to the bin for a tip tackle.
LikeLike
The ‘Saints’ may be about to lose another man. Munster player out cold; first head collision with knee looked accidental, but the second one didn’t.
LikeLike
Yep, that’s a red.
LikeLike
What happened? I went to the toilet and refresh my cuppa and Saints seem to have imploded, with a yellow & red card.
LikeLike
POM furra lineeeeeeeeeeeeeeee.
LikeLike
TRY POM as the clock goes red for HT!
LikeLike
Refit – see above.
LikeLike
Why didn’t we get this ref? Don’t recall seeing him before, but he’s done well. And not just because he’s handed two cards to the Saints.
LikeLike
Thaum – saw your post after the page refreshed for mine. Agree, the first was accidental but there was a little glance down before the second impact.
LikeLike
Munster playing like a team possessed: very entertaining!
LikeLike
TRY Coombs!
LikeLike
Comedy moment as POM tries to kick the ball away and shoots it straight into Coombs’ knackers.
LikeLike
Saints catching up with a penalty and a very good drop goal. 20-16.
LikeLike
How many scrum penalties before the penalty try? 5 scrum penalties and two yellow cards on the 5m line but no penalty try? Bullshit. Ref’s bottling it. Stormers should be ahead.
LikeLike
Shit! Northampton have just scored and gone ahead.
LikeLike
Stade-Stormers has descended into farce: Stade should have conceded a couple of penalty tries, then the Stormers cocked up the overlap, only for the ref to reaward the penalty for Stade having too many players on the field! Stormers eventually score and take the lead with 7 to go. The farce continues: Stormers have a 3 man advantage and are still box kicking. 🤦♂️
LikeLike
BRING BACK JACO PEYPER!
LikeLike
Stormers trying really hard to lose this. Penalty lineout, lose it, allow Stade to flood downfield and scramble a scrum in their own 22.
LikeLike