The squads have been announced, the photo-ops done, the pre-tournament blathering from the coaches and captains is out of the way, and what do we know about the 2026 Six Nations? It’s sponsored by Guinness. Much more than that, it’s difficult to say who will end where, and who will lift the trophy come mid-March. Also, BKT sponsor the tyres for those torturous bus trips from the hotels to the stadia. Who knew? What we do know are the squads and schedules, which make for some fascinating (or not) speculation:
England
Nailed-on favourites to win the whole thing, of course, possibly with a Grand Slam thrown in: ask the English media, they’ll tell you, just like they do every year. Until the first loss, when the knives come out. Comedy gold. This year is no different, with the caveat being that England really are a very, very good side and bubbling with confidence. Eleven-match winning streak, some audacious new talents led by the irritating irrepressible Henry Pollock under the leadership of St Maro, and possessing not just excellence in the forwards and backs, but depth through the 23 and broader squad. A gentle start to the tournament against Wales (sorry, Welsh fans) will set England up nicely for a feisty clash against Scotland at Murrayfield. A potential banana-skin, but England should have too much in the tank for Scotland, and can move back to HQ against Ireland for a massive clash with confidence. A lesser clash against Italy follows, as a nice warm up for probably the tournament-defining Test against France in Paris. Possible weaknesses? Not many: maybe a callow set of props, but it seems to be an area of general parity in the north at the moment.
Prediction: England to win it all! Or maybe fall at the last against France.
France
Which France will turn up? The return of the world’s best player is a huge boost for France, and Dupont’s club form in the last couple of weeks has underlined his status as an out-and-out matchwinner. That said, France will be hoping he doesn’t get injured, because the nine cupboard is (comparatively) bare after that with Lucu, Jauneau and Le Garrec all out for the first couple of matches at least. A bit of a creaky front row, potentially, but plenty of boeuf in the pack. The exclusion of Aldritt, in particular, raises eyebrows though. Outside of Dupont, the likes of Depoortere, Moefana, Jalibert, Ramos and LB-B provide threats across the park – and I’d love to see them in full flight!
France open their campaign with a must-win match against Ireland in Paris. The form of French sides in the Euro competitions suggests that Toulouse+ vs Leinster+ (just joking!) will be a tight affair, but with Ireland struggling a bit for form, France should win with a bit to spare. A trip to Wales, and hosting Italy after that, will give Galthié time to tinker before the potential banana-skin in Edinburgh. What is it with the bloody Scots and potential banana-skins? Finally, it’ll be the all-or-nothing clash with England in Paris, which should be the ‘Final’ of the tournament. France have enough to win it, but will they be able to stop an English juggernaut on a fifteen-game winning streak?
Prediction: France to win it all! Or maybe fall at the last against England.
Ireland
They’re shit. Only one top international side playing in green is worth talking about and they’re not in this tournament. Or so goes the conventional, ahem, wisdom. They’re not shit, far from it, and with Leinster starting to purr in the URC and Champions Cup, with plenty of good players in the other three sides as well, Ireland are probably more in a transition phase than decline. They have problems at prop (along with everyone else, it seems), and their pack got bullied by the Boks (along with everyone else, so no measure there), but still have a core of excellent players capable of beating anyone on their day.
Perhaps also an issue at 10; with nobody really grabbing the jersey since Sexton hobbled off into the sunset, it could be a problem. The pack still has some fearsome beasts in it, and in Conan, van der Flier, Doris, McCarthy, Ryan, Sheehan and company, they’re well set in the starting 15.
It’s probably in the replacements they’re a bit light, and as the tournament goes on any injuries will be keenly felt. In the backs, Keenan makes a timely return, JG-P’s form will be key, and the mouthy man-bun will start at least one fight a match while grinning like a twat. But he scores tries. Plenty of talent in midfield and out wide, but will they get enough decent ball to use it?
A fearsome test first thing up in Paris, followed by a gentler home match against Italy, then away to England and you feel that’s all she wrote of their chances. Playing for pride against Wales and Scotland to finish the tournament, or hoping England and France stumble at some point.
Prediction: No better than third.
Italy
From perennial wooden spoonists to everyone’s second-favourite side as they build a style that’s easy on the eye, but also steely up front. The loss of Ange Capuozzo in particular, and also Sebastian Negri, is a major blow to their chances of progressing beyond the odd heroic win. That said, they still have some fine players in the Cannones (easy, easy): Fischetti, Ferrari, Lamaro, Garbisi, Menoncello, Brex, Lynagh and a couple of others. What they lack is depth, especially in the forwards, with quite a few players in single-figure caps. Italy can ill afford a bad run of injuries.
They kick off with a home match against Scotland, a must-win if they’re to contest for anything other than that sauce stirrer of yore, before heading across to Ireland and France for probable heavy defeats, even if they’ve given France a few scares recently. The Ritual Routing in Rome follows, with only Wales away to salvage their season.
Prediction: No better than fourth, probably not last.
Scotland
Oh, flower of Scotland. When will you bloom? It’s got to be this year that everything clicks, right? The Weedge are winding it up in the URC and Europe, Edinburgh a match in hand off the playoff spots, and some great talent playing in leagues across Europe. Can Finn rustle up some vintage form to dispatch the auld enemy again? Will Duhan and Darcy do the dance of death on desperate defenders?
On paper, Scotland have a wonderful attacking side, with Huwipoluto outside Russell, and plenty of options in the back three. The return of towering Johnny Gray to the second row should add some ballast, alongside Cummings and Gilchrist, whilst the back row is filled with excellent, mobile forwards. Hooker has Ashman, Turner and Cherry to pick (and go), but prop, despite Bok Beef, looks lightweight. Or perhaps it’s in the coaching box that the problem lies?
A potential banana skin against Italy (the peel on the other foot, as it were) in Rome first up, with an Italian side surely relishing going toe-to-toe with the Scottish backs. Next up, England at Murrayfield, and a must-win against them if they’re to get into contention for the top half of the table, followed by a nervy visit to Cardiff against a Wales side desperate for anything to cling to (keep yer kilts closed!). France at home and Ireland away seems a cruel way to finish things off.
Prediction: Not last, probably no better than fourth, capable of higher.
Wales
Home to the best anthem of the Six Nations and one of the best in the world. Hen Wlad Fy Nhadau. Land of our Fathers. I defy any rugby lover to keep a dry eye when sung at full pelt. The evocative words, the pride in nation, in land, in forefathers and the promise implicit in its singing to keep that pride and singular determination are spectacular. In the words of Caryl Thomas, Wales Women’s loosehead prop, “It doesn’t matter if I’m in tune or not when I’m belting it out [bet she is, all Welsh are]. When we get to “Gwlad, Gwlad, pleidiol wyf i’m gwlad”, it feels like you’re standing up for your nation. That’s a great feeling to have, and it makes me incredibly proud.” It was my dad’s favourite anthem after ours, and it still brings a tear to my eye and a lump to my throat to see and hear it sung wherever it’s performed, but no more so than at the old Arms Park, and now Millennium Stadium. Magical.
Wales kick off the tournament in wretched form, having shipped 177 points in the November Tests against the Pumas, All Blacks and Boks. They’re up against England at Twickers, and much as I like Dewi Lake as a grand player, he’s filling in as skipper for the best player Wales have, in Jac Morgan. A glance at the squad is a who’s who of pretty ordinary club players, and you can expect a ruthless England to put them to the sword over 80 minutes. It doesn’t get easier with France in Cardiff next, followed by a Scotland side wanting to stay in the race, then Ireland trying to keep in the race too. By the time Italy arrive for the last weekend, Wales will have Tros ryddid gollasant eu gwaed. They won’t be free.
Prediction: Anything more than sixth will be positive, higher than fifth will be great, above fourth will be investigated for match fixing.
Delightfully described by Deebee7
Ireland losing again.
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@Flair, I’ve been enjoying the Top 14 this season, the Pau backline is a joy to watch albeit that I call myself a Stade Toulousain fan – unashamed glory hunter, which if you followed Edinburgh Rugby you’d immediately understand the need for it) and yeah, the depth France have is terrific.
@Refit, soz, I should have said it was the U20s side I was referring to. The pack sizes at that level is ridiculous. Many of them are bigger than their full team counterparts.
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Welsh babies beating English babies, though! Only 0-3 so far, mind.
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The Scottish 10 tonight, Jack Dalziel, is still at school, aged 17.
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More points have happened in the England match, unfortunately it was Wales who scored them after an almighty England fumble in their own 22.
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0-10 now! Wales are making all the running, and have fucked up a couple of other try-scoring opportunities, but they got there in the end.
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Egregious up-ending of Welsh player merits only a penalty.
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How is the England 9 still on the pitch, after going through the Wales FB who was airborne after kicking the ball. I would have sworn that’d be a card.
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0-16 at half-time. Chucking it down, too.
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Ireland getting slaughtered. Going back to the baby game, even though it’s half-time.
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Fab saxophonist entertaining the crowd! He’s just wandering around the stands, so I’ve no idea if it’s official or not.
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Finally some England points on 44mins. 7-16
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And some more!
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More points for England. Wooo! Scored by Jimmy Staples, who isn’t actually a stationary shop mascot.
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‘Not a high degree of danger for me.’ Fuck off!
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Ooh, Wales 10 just copped a shoulder to the head from the England 10. There was a bit of a drop in height, but I think this will be a red.
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TMO & assistant refs (?) let sense prevail and it’s a red.
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Oh, only a 20-minute one, though.
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Yep, 20min red.
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The woman commentator who’s banging on about how great the English players are has not said word one about the quality of the Welsh players – who are still, after all, winning.
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The bloke’s not a lot better, tbh.
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Oh, she’s just said, ‘Great awareness from the Welsh winger.’ Must have heard me.
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Scotland U20s beat Italy 10 – 31 and that flatters Italy. The Scottish pack were immense, the best I’ve ever seen them.
The young fly half, Dalziel, is one to watch. We have a winger, McHaffie, who scored near the end with ridiculous pace.
This might be our only win, we traditionally struggle at this level, but it was a very good watch for a frequently disappointed Scotland fan.
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McHaffie is a brilliant name.
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” but most others could be swapped indifferently.”
Pffft. Most of our players could be swapped indifferently too.
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Well, unfortunately Wales fuck it up at the end and lose by 3 points. But there was much that was heartening about that.
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Pretty impressive scoreline from Wales there, didn’t see the game other than some very muddy people in the last minute. Gives some hope I guess (as last year did too of course).
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I love watching the U20s
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Is it just me, or does this feel like the actual start to the 6N and not that random match that was on two days ago?
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Refit – it’s not just you. Besides, I am trying to forget that match ever happened.
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‘Mon Scotland!!!!
Dinnae bugger this up!
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It’s so nice hearing Andrew Cotter.
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Bugger.
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Italy score. Ireland and Wales to contest the wooden spoon.
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Bloody hell!
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I thought the last pass was forward, but on replay from a wider angle, maybe not!
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Nah Thaum. On this performance, Scotland for the Wooden Spoon. Bloody awful. Started with Gilchrist giving away a stupid penalty.
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“Ireland and Wales to contest the wooden spoon.”
Scotland are playing a lot like Wales so far. Plenty of time for them to put it right of course.
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‘Strength and depth in the water carriers…’.
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Italy on top everywhere, winning tackles, winning collisions , sharper at the ruck, better kicking. Even look to be on top in the scrum. need to sharpen up.
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Ooh, that was lovely from Dempsey.
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Zuliani really unlucky there. harsh penalty.
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Try finished nicely in the end. Italy a bit unlucky with the last penalty. At the very least it was given for the wrong thing.
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Saw a but more of Gilchrist than we needed to there.
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Cotter on top form. One of the Scottish players has his shorts pulled down, and he says, ‘Oh, hello! Waxing and waning…’.
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Home decision there though.
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Thought Lynagh had given that up pretty early.
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George Ford would have scored that.
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How is the rain getting even harder???
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It’s not been a bad game considering.
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