The squads have been announced, the photo-ops done, the pre-tournament blathering from the coaches and captains is out of the way, and what do we know about the 2026 Six Nations? It’s sponsored by Guinness. Much more than that, it’s difficult to say who will end where, and who will lift the trophy come mid-March. Also, BKT sponsor the tyres for those torturous bus trips from the hotels to the stadia. Who knew? What we do know are the squads and schedules, which make for some fascinating (or not) speculation:
England
Nailed-on favourites to win the whole thing, of course, possibly with a Grand Slam thrown in: ask the English media, they’ll tell you, just like they do every year. Until the first loss, when the knives come out. Comedy gold. This year is no different, with the caveat being that England really are a very, very good side and bubbling with confidence. Eleven-match winning streak, some audacious new talents led by the irritating irrepressible Henry Pollock under the leadership of St Maro, and possessing not just excellence in the forwards and backs, but depth through the 23 and broader squad. A gentle start to the tournament against Wales (sorry, Welsh fans) will set England up nicely for a feisty clash against Scotland at Murrayfield. A potential banana-skin, but England should have too much in the tank for Scotland, and can move back to HQ against Ireland for a massive clash with confidence. A lesser clash against Italy follows, as a nice warm up for probably the tournament-defining Test against France in Paris. Possible weaknesses? Not many: maybe a callow set of props, but it seems to be an area of general parity in the north at the moment.
Prediction: England to win it all! Or maybe fall at the last against France.
France
Which France will turn up? The return of the world’s best player is a huge boost for France, and Dupont’s club form in the last couple of weeks has underlined his status as an out-and-out matchwinner. That said, France will be hoping he doesn’t get injured, because the nine cupboard is (comparatively) bare after that with Lucu, Jauneau and Le Garrec all out for the first couple of matches at least. A bit of a creaky front row, potentially, but plenty of boeuf in the pack. The exclusion of Aldritt, in particular, raises eyebrows though. Outside of Dupont, the likes of Depoortere, Moefana, Jalibert, Ramos and LB-B provide threats across the park – and I’d love to see them in full flight!
France open their campaign with a must-win match against Ireland in Paris. The form of French sides in the Euro competitions suggests that Toulouse+ vs Leinster+ (just joking!) will be a tight affair, but with Ireland struggling a bit for form, France should win with a bit to spare. A trip to Wales, and hosting Italy after that, will give Galthié time to tinker before the potential banana-skin in Edinburgh. What is it with the bloody Scots and potential banana-skins? Finally, it’ll be the all-or-nothing clash with England in Paris, which should be the ‘Final’ of the tournament. France have enough to win it, but will they be able to stop an English juggernaut on a fifteen-game winning streak?
Prediction: France to win it all! Or maybe fall at the last against England.
Ireland
They’re shit. Only one top international side playing in green is worth talking about and they’re not in this tournament. Or so goes the conventional, ahem, wisdom. They’re not shit, far from it, and with Leinster starting to purr in the URC and Champions Cup, with plenty of good players in the other three sides as well, Ireland are probably more in a transition phase than decline. They have problems at prop (along with everyone else, it seems), and their pack got bullied by the Boks (along with everyone else, so no measure there), but still have a core of excellent players capable of beating anyone on their day.
Perhaps also an issue at 10; with nobody really grabbing the jersey since Sexton hobbled off into the sunset, it could be a problem. The pack still has some fearsome beasts in it, and in Conan, van der Flier, Doris, McCarthy, Ryan, Sheehan and company, they’re well set in the starting 15.
It’s probably in the replacements they’re a bit light, and as the tournament goes on any injuries will be keenly felt. In the backs, Keenan makes a timely return, JG-P’s form will be key, and the mouthy man-bun will start at least one fight a match while grinning like a twat. But he scores tries. Plenty of talent in midfield and out wide, but will they get enough decent ball to use it?
A fearsome test first thing up in Paris, followed by a gentler home match against Italy, then away to England and you feel that’s all she wrote of their chances. Playing for pride against Wales and Scotland to finish the tournament, or hoping England and France stumble at some point.
Prediction: No better than third.
Italy
From perennial wooden spoonists to everyone’s second-favourite side as they build a style that’s easy on the eye, but also steely up front. The loss of Ange Capuozzo in particular, and also Sebastian Negri, is a major blow to their chances of progressing beyond the odd heroic win. That said, they still have some fine players in the Cannones (easy, easy): Fischetti, Ferrari, Lamaro, Garbisi, Menoncello, Brex, Lynagh and a couple of others. What they lack is depth, especially in the forwards, with quite a few players in single-figure caps. Italy can ill afford a bad run of injuries.
They kick off with a home match against Scotland, a must-win if they’re to contest for anything other than that sauce stirrer of yore, before heading across to Ireland and France for probable heavy defeats, even if they’ve given France a few scares recently. The Ritual Routing in Rome follows, with only Wales away to salvage their season.
Prediction: No better than fourth, probably not last.
Scotland
Oh, flower of Scotland. When will you bloom? It’s got to be this year that everything clicks, right? The Weedge are winding it up in the URC and Europe, Edinburgh a match in hand off the playoff spots, and some great talent playing in leagues across Europe. Can Finn rustle up some vintage form to dispatch the auld enemy again? Will Duhan and Darcy do the dance of death on desperate defenders?
On paper, Scotland have a wonderful attacking side, with Huwipoluto outside Russell, and plenty of options in the back three. The return of towering Johnny Gray to the second row should add some ballast, alongside Cummings and Gilchrist, whilst the back row is filled with excellent, mobile forwards. Hooker has Ashman, Turner and Cherry to pick (and go), but prop, despite Bok Beef, looks lightweight. Or perhaps it’s in the coaching box that the problem lies?
A potential banana skin against Italy (the peel on the other foot, as it were) in Rome first up, with an Italian side surely relishing going toe-to-toe with the Scottish backs. Next up, England at Murrayfield, and a must-win against them if they’re to get into contention for the top half of the table, followed by a nervy visit to Cardiff against a Wales side desperate for anything to cling to (keep yer kilts closed!). France at home and Ireland away seems a cruel way to finish things off.
Prediction: Not last, probably no better than fourth, capable of higher.
Wales
Home to the best anthem of the Six Nations and one of the best in the world. Hen Wlad Fy Nhadau. Land of our Fathers. I defy any rugby lover to keep a dry eye when sung at full pelt. The evocative words, the pride in nation, in land, in forefathers and the promise implicit in its singing to keep that pride and singular determination are spectacular. In the words of Caryl Thomas, Wales Women’s loosehead prop, “It doesn’t matter if I’m in tune or not when I’m belting it out [bet she is, all Welsh are]. When we get to “Gwlad, Gwlad, pleidiol wyf i’m gwlad”, it feels like you’re standing up for your nation. That’s a great feeling to have, and it makes me incredibly proud.” It was my dad’s favourite anthem after ours, and it still brings a tear to my eye and a lump to my throat to see and hear it sung wherever it’s performed, but no more so than at the old Arms Park, and now Millennium Stadium. Magical.
Wales kick off the tournament in wretched form, having shipped 177 points in the November Tests against the Pumas, All Blacks and Boks. They’re up against England at Twickers, and much as I like Dewi Lake as a grand player, he’s filling in as skipper for the best player Wales have, in Jac Morgan. A glance at the squad is a who’s who of pretty ordinary club players, and you can expect a ruthless England to put them to the sword over 80 minutes. It doesn’t get easier with France in Cardiff next, followed by a Scotland side wanting to stay in the race, then Ireland trying to keep in the race too. By the time Italy arrive for the last weekend, Wales will have Tros ryddid gollasant eu gwaed. They won’t be free.
Prediction: Anything more than sixth will be positive, higher than fifth will be great, above fourth will be investigated for match fixing.
Delightfully described by Deebee7
Now she’s going, ‘Hey, Gregor, you’re about to get fired, aren’t you? Does it bother you?’
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Not the result I expected but richly deserved.
As a footnote, the omission of a tall player, reliable under the high ball and with a good kicking game such as Blair Kinghorn, particularly in such a foul weather is mystifying. Combined with the poor positionning of the guy who replaced him, it is a strange decision from Townsend.
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Have to agree with the Scottish interviewees that they lost that game at the start. If anything they had the better of it once the weather got ridiculous and despite the problems with the lineout and scrum would likely have won but for the two key reversed penalties (which were both fair enough).
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Too much to ask for the singer and the band to have a practice first to get the timing right. I’d do without the singer regardless, but still.
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She managed the high notes all right, but there wasn’t much passion in it.
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Not convinced LRZ is a fullback and that wasn’t good.
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No, and the commentators have pointed out why.
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Couple of good kicks from Tomos Williams so far.
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I’ve somehow got alternative commentary on ITV – it’s not Mullins et al, just one guy talking. It’s quite refreshing.
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I don’t want to touch anything in case I lose it.
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Refit – hope you went to the toilet before the match, then.
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Almost choked on my bear Thaum.
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How to turn a lineout in the opposition 22 into a try against in three easy steps.
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Poor wee bear!
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Lovely Genge winding-up by Wales. Keep it up!
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It’s the audio-description that I’ve got. He keeps describing player’s facial hair and boot colours. It’s lovely not having ‘bantz’.
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LRZ redeeming himself.
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Saw an LRZ Range Rover the other day. A Northern Irish one, obviously.
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Well, that’s not going to help Wales.
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That’s REALLY not going to help Wales.
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Wow. That doesn’t happen often.
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First one was pretty harsh so early in the game especially given what some of the penalties have been for. Hey ho.
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Jesus, it’s going to be a hot competition for the wooden spoon.
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Wonder what the world record for penalties is.
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JD2 would be disgusted with that pass.
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Earl against Mee feels unfair.
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Oh, that was horrible.
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Dear me.
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How do you forget about one of the two words in ‘tap penalty’?
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It’s really not that England are playing well; they are merely competently receiving the gift-wrapped pressies that Wales are presenting them.
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Bloody hell, thought we were bad.
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Did like Mullins’ “Did we miss much” when they came back from the ad.
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Ref has been very picky, a huge proportion of passages of play have ended up with a penalty or free kick (England have actually been penalised a fair few times for a team 29-0 up who played against 13 for ten minutes). We’ve obviously contributed to that with a phenomenal amount of errors though I do think quite a lot of games could be that way and most aren’t.
Wales have had four good positions in England’s 22 and we are no wiser as to whether they can play at all. Wouldn’t feel able to make much of a judgment on how England have played either with the two yellows and everything being a penalty making it so straightforward that it feels like they haven’t had to do much really. They’re obviously physically more powerful than Wales which we knew anyway.
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Wales are abysmal, which is a good job, as England are looking a bit uninspired to me, almost playing by numbers. Three scores up and the top sides start to really carve it up, especially if two men to in the bin for the oppo. Silly errors too, would be letting a really good side back in the game. Hard to feel sorry for Wales, half of their penalties have been schoolboy dumb, and they look like they haven’t trained together as a back line.
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That Ford pass for Arrundall’s 3rd 😍.
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29 up, but sterile for me.
Genge being a fool and Wales just generally not up to the necessary standard today.
England doing enough but not playing especially well
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Damn, Genge replaced at HT! Wales’s last hope is gone.
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That was far too easy for England.
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Nice move to be fair.
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I’d kick the goal.
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Maro on and then straight back off again.
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Not nilled!
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He’s consistent, I’ll give him that, but England a bit harshly treated to be on a warning as though there have been a few pens we’ve hardly done any attacking in their 22.
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The booing for Maro going off was ridiculous.
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Well done to the boys for sticking at it, at least we haven’t been nilled I guess.
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Maro on, Maro off. Thought Roebuck butchered a try the play before he scored. England look plodding. Mitchell could have gone quick a couple of times, and haven’t and Ford has kicked good ball away in midfield positions a couple of times. Should be practicing for France.
Wales score, more of the same please.
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I’ll be amazed if Plumtree doesn’t get a card before this is done.
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CMW – back to back posts on my Bluesky feed “Wales need some discipline – let’s bring on Plumbtree!”
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For fuck sake, GO Mitchell.
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See that’s the sort of thing that could be let go, he’s had no impact on that maul at all.
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